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Economy needs more certainty, which can only come from Washington, says the best forecaster of the month


Much of the economic growth we’re experiencing is merely picking the low-hanging fruit. The big challenges remain.

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The U.S. economy is doing “as good or better than expected” in the third quarter, but risks are building for a setback in the fourth quarter if the government doesn’t provide more stimulus and certainty, says Spencer Staples, chief economist for EconAlpha and the winner of the Forecaster of the Month contest for August.

“The pandemic, as tragic as it is, has been an eye-opener,” he says. “It isn’t a structural problem;…


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