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If stock-market history repeats, the S&P 500 will close at a new high by the end of August


Up and over?

Valery Hache/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

The S&P 500 index made two failed attempts last week to take out its record close from February, causing some investors to worry the rally is running out of steam. History, on the other hand, suggests market bulls shouldn’t be too quick to throw in the towel.

The large-cap U.S. stock-market benchmark

last Wednesday closed less than 1% away from its all-time finish of 3,386.15 set on Feb. 19, after briefly trading above that level. It again flirted with a record on Thursday before a late…


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