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This spot-on predictor of who will win the 2020 presidential election is not the stock market or even opinion polls

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Does the stock market predict the winner of U.S. presidential elections? Many argue that it does, pointing to the historical correlation between the incumbent party retaining the White House and the stock market’s strength in the months leading up to Election Day in November.

Given President Donald Trump’s preoccupation with the stock market, he apparently agrees. Recently he tweeted that if he’s not re-elected, investors’ 401(k)s will disintegrate and disappear — though one major Wall Street firm sees quite a different outcome for retirement savers if Trump’s presumptive challenger Joe Biden is elected.



Source marketwatch.com

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